Avian Influenza Prediction Market
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Avian Flu Policy Announcements
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World Health Organization Phase 4 Announcement by January 1, 2009
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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Current Market Prices
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Yes
| No
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| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.005 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.995 |
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World Health Organization issues an emergency travel advisory relating to H5N1 by December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
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Avian Flu Human Number Announcements
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WHO-confirmed cases of H5N1 in humans during quarter 4 of 2008 will be greater than cases during quarter 4 of 2007
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
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WHO will confirm 425 cases of H5N1 before January 1, 2009
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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|
|
Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
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Avian Flu Human Location Announcements
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New WHO Confirmed Cases of H5N1 in North or South America between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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|
Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
|
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New WHO Confirmed H5N1 case in Europe between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
|
|
|
Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
|
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New WHO Confirmed Cases of H5N1 in Hong Kong between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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Current Market Prices
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Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.04 |
$0.96 |
| Current Bid |
$0.025 |
$0.96 |
| Current Ask |
$0.04 |
$0.98 |
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New WHO Confirmed Cases of H5N1 in Singapore between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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|
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Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.026 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.974 |
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New WHO-confirmed human case of H5N1 in Africa, as defined by the WHO Regional Office for Africa, between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
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The number of new WHO-confirmed cases of H5N1 in humans outside of Indonesia and Vietnam be greater than or equal to the total number of cases in the two countries between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
|
|
|
Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
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Avian Flu Animal Annoucements
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New HIGH-PATH H5N1 Case Confirmed by the World Organization for Animal Health in a Native, Non-Captive Avian Species in North or South America between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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|
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Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.01 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.99 |
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New HIGH-PATH H5N1 Case Confirmed by the World Organization for Animal Health in Commercial Poultry in North or South America between July 1, 2008 and December 31, 2008
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Prediction as of 12/16/2008
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Current Market Prices
| |
Yes
| No
|
| Latest Price |
$0.03 |
$0.97 |
| Current Bid |
$0.02 |
$0.97 |
| Current Ask |
$0.03 |
$0.98 |
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